IRCC is conducting a public consultation on immigration levels for 2027–2029, open until June 14, 2026. The proposed directions — 380,000 permanent residents per year, a 5% cap on temporary residents, and 12% francophones by 2029 — will directly impact processing timelines and immigration strategies.
1. The Proposed Key Targets
The federal government proposes the following objectives for 2027–2029:
- 380,000 new permanent residents per year: A slight decrease from the 2024 peak of 485,000, but still a high level
- 5% cap on temporary residents: Significant reduction in the total number of temporary residents (students, workers) relative to Canada's population
- 12% francophone target: Progressive increase in the proportion of new francophone PRs, reaching 12% by 2029
- Priority for skilled workers in health and construction: Labour-shortage sectors remain a priority
2. Impact on Express Entry
If these directions are adopted, here are the foreseeable impacts on Express Entry:
- More frequent francophone draws: To reach 12% francophones, IRCC will need to increase targeted draw volumes
- Potentially more accessible CRS thresholds: More available spots generally means lower thresholds
- Increased sectoral priority: Candidates in healthcare, construction, agriculture, and technology will benefit most
For francophone candidates: The 12% francophone objective is excellent news. It means more invitations and potentially lower CRS thresholds in coming years. If you are francophone, now is the ideal time to optimize your profile.
3. Impact on Temporary Permits
The 5% cap on temporary residents will have important consequences:
- Study permits: Quotas may be maintained or reduced, making admissions more competitive
- Work permits: Non-LMIA categories may face additional restrictions
- Renewals: Stricter criteria are possible for temporary status renewals
4. How to Participate in the Consultation
The public consultation is open until June 14, 2026. You can submit comments via the Government of Canada's consultation portal. Results will guide the 2027–2029 Immigration Levels Plan, to be published in fall 2026.
Our Recommendation
Whatever the outcome of this consultation, the trend is clear: Canada maintains its commitment to economic immigration while seeking better control over temporary volumes. Candidates who act now, before new levels plans are adopted, will benefit from current rules — often more advantageous than what may come.
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